Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.486549 0.557917 0.635408 0.725705 0.827940 0.940004 1.072057
2025-02-16 0.354801 0.446051 0.553754 0.689882 0.856952 1.054890 1.306749
2025-02-23 0.269296 0.368867 0.495837 0.668738 0.897060 1.187140 1.582366
2025-03-02 0.209884 0.311568 0.450923 0.654227 0.941305 1.329889 1.892927
2025-03-09 0.170950 0.273491 0.423708 0.657161 1.007525 1.509655 2.278431
2025-03-16 0.137914 0.236879 0.391271 0.645848 1.050174 1.660983 2.644562
2025-03-23 0.117288 0.215116 0.376815 0.658247 1.128746 1.874009 3.129505
2025-03-30 0.097098 0.189752 0.351658 0.648389 1.169211 2.031880 3.548014
2025-04-06 0.083882 0.173893 0.339493 0.657765 1.241818 2.249310 4.089067
2025-04-13 0.069606 0.152998 0.314416 0.639458 1.262389 2.380094 4.497931
2025-04-20 0.062402 0.144610 0.311174 0.660855 1.357362 2.651357 5.184314
2025-04-27 0.056845 0.138497 0.311218 0.688292 1.466901 2.960990 5.975032
2025-05-04 0.049786 0.127783 0.300300 0.692420 1.532547 3.198786 6.664599
2025-05-11 0.043336 0.117108 0.287600 0.690723 1.586057 3.419559 7.347782
2025-05-18 0.037984 0.107922 0.276583 0.690862 1.643306 3.654375 8.086159
2025-05-25 0.033342 0.099505 0.265831 0.689772 1.697519 3.888972 8.850578
2025-06-01 0.030060 0.093980 0.261080 0.702034 1.783408 4.200277 9.811059
2025-06-08 0.026333 0.086345 0.249615 0.695917 1.825444 4.420551 10.598567
2025-06-15 0.024103 0.082564 0.247526 0.713148 1.925719 4.781890 11.737138
2025-06-22 0.021167 0.075924 0.236463 0.705047 1.962149 5.000700 12.575379
2025-06-29 0.019296 0.072225 0.232978 0.716856 2.050757 5.351741 13.757612
2025-07-06 0.016702 0.065472 0.219340 0.698064 2.056714 5.504434 14.484947
2025-07-13 0.015631 0.063732 0.220479 0.722000 2.180687 5.961179 15.997051